Positive Workers' Compensation Insurance Performance Will Face Challenges
February 13, 2019
Conning—Positive Workers' Compensation Insurance Performance Will Face Challenges
HARTFORD, CT, February 13, 2019—The extremely favorable workers' compensation insurance results of recent years are poised for change, according to a new study by Conning.
"In the past three years, workers' compensation results have been more favorable than in any other period in the past half-century," said Jerry Theodorou, a Vice President, Insurance Research at Conning. "The calendar-year combined ratio averaged 94 percent in 2015-2017, and profitability continued in 2018, with our combined ratio projection estimated to be below 90 percent. However, the line has shown sluggish premium growth due to the combination of modest payroll growth and widespread rate decreases over the past three years."
The Conning study, “Workers' Compensation Insurance: As Good as it Gets” looks beyond the cycle to analyze external structural forces driving long-lasting change to workers' compensation insurance, including unfolding economic, technological, and societal trends that will fundamentally alter workplaces, transform the workforce, and change loss potential.
"Our near-term outlook for the workers' compensation line is for deteriorating results in the next three to five years amid continued rate reductions, flattening loss frequency, rising loss severity, and weakening loss reserve releases," said Steve Webersen, Head of Insurance Research at Conning. "While some of this will be cycle-driven, there are many external forces we analyzed that will drive long-lasting change to workers' compensation insurance, including labor shortages, new immigration patterns, an aging workforce, cutbacks in safety and job training, among others. Insurers will need to carefully consider the impact of these and other forces in their markets, both cyclical and structural, and develop strategies to respond."
“Workers' Compensation Insurance: As Good as it Gets” is available for purchase from Conning by calling (888) 707-1177 or by visiting www.conningresearch.com.
Conning (www.conning.com) is a leading investment management firm with a long history of serving the insurance industry. Conning supports institutional investors, including pension plans, with investment solutions and asset management offerings, risk modeling software, and industry research. Founded in 1912, Conning has investment centers in Asia, Europe and North America.